Understanding and Being Lecture 3:2

Sku: 14000A0E050

Archival Number: CD/mp3 140

Author: Lonergan, B.

Language(s): English,

Decade: 1950

**Description:**

CD/mp3 140, second part of third Halifax lecture on Insight. Corresponds to CWL 5: 72-83. Sponsored by Mary Kierans, in the name of Hugh Kierans. Lonergan does not offer a theory of probability but a heuristic structure that heads toward the determination of a theory of probability. The approach to probability begins with the inverse insight that there is a limitation to what can be known through classical laws. Full knowledge of classical laws enables prediction only insofar as there are schemes of recurrence. What the scientist wants is a general solution, and in that case we move on to probability. A probability is an ideal proper fraction from which actual relative frequencies diverge but do not do so systematically. With that determination, we try first to understand the case of a priori probability (e.g., the probability of heads is one-half), and then to set up the general structure within which an empirical notion of probability can be developed. Chapter 3 of Insight is treated briefly. Science in dynamic terms is best formulated in a set of canons that guide what the scientist is doing. Lonergan considers the first two canons, the canons of selection and operations. But the tape runs out before he finishes.

Database and descriptions © Copyright 2017 by Robert M. Doran

Audio restoration by Greg Lauzon

## Transcription:

No transcription available.